IS A CRASH COMING IN THE S&P 500?Here's what @BergMilton thinks:On April 15th, the S&P 500 hit an all-time high.Of all 500 stocks inside it, fewer than 15 made a new one-year high that day.Bears are comparing this to March 2000 when the S&P hit an all-time high with only 16 new individual highs.This was right before the dot-com crash.But there are other instances as well:1. 1995:The S&P immediately broke out of a trading range and went up 40% before its next 7% correction. There were no no meani
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BUYING THE S&P 500 RIGHT NOW IS A BAD IDEAHere is Paul Tudor Jones's explanation:The US stock market is now 252% of GDP.In 1929, the peak was 65%. In 1987, it was 90%. In 2000, it was 170%.We have never been here before.Bear markets since 1970 have averaged a return to 25-30 year P/E norms roughly every 10 years.A 30-35% market decline from here would erase wealth equal to 89% of US GDP.Then the cascade begins.10% of all federal tax revenue comes from capital gains.A serious bear market takes th
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