But in the price-tracking data, the evidence is much more uneven. April’s inflation reports — measuring consumer and producer prices — showed the early imprint of tariffs. Goods most exposed to the levies, like furniture and audio equipment, became more expensive.

Consumer prices rose 2.4% over the year, and the month-over-month increase was lower than expected.

Where is all the inflation that was supposed to arise from the Trump tariffs? So far there’s hardly been any whiff of big price increases. Just wait, economists insist. It’s coming.