A decrease in oil supply drives up oil prices, which can raise unemployment and inflation. To counter adverse effects on ...

Using data from the euro area SAFE, a novel survey of firms’ inflation expectations including a randomized controlled trial ...

The Center for Pacific Basin Studies (CPBS) organizes the Asia Economic Policy Conference (AEPC) series and the Pacific Basin Research Conference series in alternating years. The AEPC is the flagship ...

Since 1974, the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco has conducted an active Pacific Basin program to promote cooperation among central banks in the region and enhance public understanding of major ...

To better understand the potential impacts of AI on the economy, this analysis assesses workers likely to be exposed to AI on ...

Recent shifts in immigration flows have lowered the estimates of net international migration into the United States. New data indicate that net migration will be close to half a million people in 2025 ...

The United States announced new, higher tariff rates this year. Tariffs can affect supply chains, investment, and firms’ input costs, resulting in supply-side effects such as higher inflation and ...

On the labor market, I don’t feel as confident we can get ahead of it. It’s vulnerable enough now that the risk is it’ll have a nonlinear change," she told ...

Robert G. Valletta, associate director of research and senior vice president at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, shared views on the current economy and the outlook from the Economic ...

Understanding employment patterns among different segments of the nation’s workforce contributes to a deeper understanding of the economy, in support of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy goals.

In 2024, the San Francisco Fed and the Federal Reserve System Innovation Office launched the EmergingTech Economic Research Network (EERN) to support a better understanding of how new technologies ...

How large is the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on labor productivity and unemployment? This paper introduces a labor-search model of technological unemployment, conceptualizing the generative ...