There’s a significantly elevated chance that a U.S. recession will begin within the next 12 months. The odds are roughly one ...

The U.S. stock market rallied on the news with the Dow closing up 0.2% on Wednesday. The S&P 500 closed up 1.6% that day, and the Nasdaq was up 2.6%. Meanwhile, consumers breathed a sigh of relief ...

1. U.S. money supply is meaningfully declining for the first time since the Great Depression. The first chart comes courtesy of Reventure Consulting CEO Nick Gerli, who examined the correlation ...

Grey areas denote U.S. recession. As you'll note from the chart, one of the steepest (and lengthiest) inversions of the 10-year/three-month yield curve in history led to a recession probability ...

This catches every recession since the Depression, and entered the danger zone in March (see chart 2). Chart: The Economist Other recession-seers look to the bond market.

A depression is a widespread, extreme recession that lasts longer and causes generational damage to the economy. The last one in the U.S., the Great Depression of the 1930s, ...

No one knows for sure, recession or depression. But the lesson here is that our economy functions well when everything is stable and predictable, including both private and government sectors.

Our economy functions well when everything is stable and predictable, including both private and government sectors, Joseph H. Discenza, Ph.D., writes in a guest column.

A viral chart suggests a recession is coming after the Fed cuts interest rates - but don't panic yet Provided by Dow Jones Aug 4, 2024, 10:15:00 PM. By Gordon Gottsegen .